Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 9.039124 10.485944 12.039709 13.826613 15.818889 17.965862 20.448359
2025-04-06 7.322093 9.224350 11.397700 14.044533 17.159899 20.688940 24.966449
2025-04-13 6.139165 8.299690 10.900217 14.219531 18.299207 23.103991 29.141183
2025-04-20 5.376699 7.732150 10.697797 14.636091 19.652704 25.750256 33.634682
2025-04-27 4.732495 7.205902 10.450671 14.915120 20.783460 28.113509 37.826298
2025-05-04 4.112982 6.619802 10.040575 14.906925 21.492414 29.925678 41.349538
2025-05-11 3.404191 5.811180 9.234187 14.273851 21.297815 30.519120 43.285483
2025-05-18 2.936960 5.292851 8.771415 14.052479 21.606243 31.739719 46.033986
2025-05-25 2.516870 4.790636 8.275953 13.728806 21.726155 32.678377 48.403431
2025-06-01 2.195799 4.404392 7.911978 13.555706 22.025964 33.845642 51.089149
2025-06-08 1.883421 3.990698 7.462268 13.209670 22.037498 34.588110 53.188127
2025-06-15 1.700069 3.778136 7.311148 13.303362 22.687297 36.236512 56.577921
2025-06-22 1.508338 3.527804 7.077746 13.252708 23.118459 37.590899 59.606168
2025-06-29 1.373882 3.367944 6.981276 13.410577 23.866918 39.421148 63.355800
2025-07-06 1.252383 3.216998 6.884907 13.556621 24.594350 41.233453 67.118469
2025-07-13 1.177888 3.152288 6.935346 13.947826 25.719334 43.665284 71.840511
2025-07-20 1.093303 3.054606 6.915287 14.212115 26.643981 45.813809 76.189981
2025-07-27 0.983740 2.886319 6.746735 14.202425 27.114222 47.273821 79.541314
2025-08-03 0.821006 2.569871 6.261661 13.592686 26.555431 47.115621 80.442291
2025-08-10 0.718701 2.379601 6.006491 13.379481 26.644555 47.959920 82.870943
2025-08-17 0.619713 2.179723 5.711035 13.068128 26.544721 48.491822 84.820830
2025-08-24 0.544464 2.027949 5.500792 12.901656 26.682672 49.399338 87.363198
2025-08-31 0.465731 1.850627 5.216241 12.569010 26.506812 49.784503 89.086845